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Wednesday, 24 September 2014

According to BBC, Ebola death rates 70% – WHO study and new figures suggest 70% of those infected with Ebola in West Africa have died, higher than previously reported, says the World Health Organization. UN agency has warned that Ebola infections will treble to 20,000 by November if efforts to tackle the outbreak are not stepped up.  In the worst case scenario, cases in two nations could reach 1.4 million in January, according to a US estimate. Experts said the US numbers were “somewhat pessimistic.”
The world’s largest outbreak of Ebola has caused 2,800 deaths so far, mainly in Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone. Outbreaks in Senegal and Nigeria were “pretty much contained”, said the WHO. Scientists have warned that swift action is needed to curb the exponential climb in the Ebola outbreak. Two new estimates suggest that cases of Ebola could soar dramatically in the three countries with the majority of cases. Projections published in The New England Journal of Medicine predict that by early November there will have been nearly 20,000 cases. The analysis of confirmed cases also suggests death rates are higher than previously reported at about 70% of all cases, rather than 50%.  Dr Christopher Dye, Director of Strategy for WHO, said unless control measures improved quickly “these three countries will soon be reporting thousands of cases and deaths each week, projections that are similar to those of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)”. The CDC said that there could be up to 21,000 reported and unreported cases in Liberia and Sierra Leone alone by the end of this month. In predictions released on Tuesday, the US health agency said cases could reach as many as 1.4 million by mid-January, if efforts to control the outbreak are not scaled up. But experts cautioned that the numbers seemed “somewhat pessimistic” and did not account for infection control efforts already underway. My opinion is that ECOWAS communities should intensified in their effort to curb this menace

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